The Breather Equation

Credit photo: Breather & Unsplash https://unsplash.com/@breather

Credit photo: Breather & Unsplash 

Breather is a cool service where you can rent a space by the hour with an app and unlock the door with your phone! How cool is that!

As I write this post, they have more than 150 awesome locations in 6 cities and distributed in 101 commercial buildings.

Recently, CEO Julien Smith ask publicly (on Facebook it’s pretty much public): how many time it would take them to reach 800 buildings.

Challenge accepted Julien. So here is my answer.

Data Gathering

First, I scrapped trough your insightfull blog and all your newsletters that I received since 2013 (Yes, I am a keeper) for information on launch dates for breather spaces. I only found out 56 of them. Is that because some are kept secret?

Anyways, I made some fair estimations on real growth time to reach 101 buildings in 27 months.

Breather Solution for the nonlienear Schrödinger equation

Wikipedia will teach us that:

In physics, a breather is a nonlinearwave in which energy concentrates in a localized and oscillatory fashion. This contradicts with the expectations derived from the corresponding linear system for infinitesimalamplitudes, which tends towards an even distribution of initially localized energy.

A discrete breather is a breather solution on a nonlinear lattice.

 u = \left( \frac{2\, b^2 \cosh(\theta) + 2\, i\, b\, \sqrt{2-b^2}\; \sinh(\theta)} {2\, \cosh(\theta)-\sqrt{2}\,\sqrt{2-b^2} \cos(a\, b\, x)} - 1 \right)\; a\; \exp(i\, a^2\, t) \quad\text{with}\quad \theta=a^2\,b\,\sqrt{2-b^2}\;t,

Unfortunately, although it seems pretty much interesting, this has nothing to do with our actual problem.

Bacteria Growth Analogy with a Sigmoid Function

This time is for real. Now let’s assume for a moment that Julien’s plan to conquer the world will react as a bacteria population!

Because as people tend to forget is that at a certain point in time, Breather Spaces will start to disappear: an end of a lease, a fire, a company moving out, a less profitable location, competition for the food (or the locations) and so on. So as time goes by, growth will become harder and harder.

Bacteria growth will follow a sigmoid function similar to this one: f(x)=\frac{1}{1 + e^{-\lambda x}}

[UPDATE]

The general form of this equation is:

b2cf915b6b287a26fa61f33f3f6f0865

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generalised_logistic_function

[UPDATE]

By setting some parameters in the equation, I ended up with this equation:

TheBreatherEquation

where A = 4, B = 200, C = 1, D = -8. x=t

Breather-Equation

 

[UPDATE 2017-02-22]

Still working!

[UPDATE 2017-05-24]

Slighlty behind schedule. According to the model, they should have reach 415 location by now. They are at 381. The next inflexion point should be at Month 50 meaing by the end of 2017.

[UPDATE 2017-07-02]

I made a correction in my month calculation. It seems that I wasa bit « off ». Here a the latest results:

Google Spread Sheet Available HERE

Actual Growth Rate

Later on, you said that:

We are currently adding a unit a day

Surprinsingly, (or not?), it fits this model. I predict that for the next year (between month 28 and 40) , Breather will launch 240 locations (there are 240 weekdays in a year!)

Conclusion

So with this empirical model, my prediction is that Breather will reach 800 commercial buildings within 100 months from the initial launch which I dated December 2013. So that should brings us to:

March 2022

Let’s face it, Microbes ruled the world and they will outlast us all one day!

16 outils pour créer un jeu de rôle RPG-pnp de A à Z

EF3200 - planetes - celestia - titan

Image générée par Celestia

Créer un jeu de rôle « crayon et papier » (RPG PnP), ça demande un temps fou, une imagination débordante, d’innombrables soirées, de la patience, de solides amis pour tester et plusieurs outils!

Je suis loin d’être un designer ou un infographiste de talent (je garde ça pour une éventuelle campagne de socio-financement), alors je me débrouille avec les outils que je découvre en fouillant un peu sur le net.

16 outils pour créer un jeu de rôle de A à Z

Tous les outils sont gratuits pour une utilisation commerciale, souvent OpenSource en ligne ou en version PC. La suite Microsoft Office 365 (payante) peut être aisément remplacée par la version gratuite en ligne, Google Docs ou Libre Office.

  1. Rédaction Microsoft Word 
  2. Création de calculateurs et générateurs maison Microsoft Excel 
  3. Stockage en ligne OneDrive
  4. Édition des images Paint.net
  5. Édition 3D Autodesk 123D 
  6. Impression 3D M3D Micro Printer 
  7. Création de plans AutoRealm 
  8. Création d’images d’étoiles basées sur une vraie carte du ciel Celestia 
  9. Générateur d’empreintes digitale Anguli 
  10. Générateur de surfaces de planètes Donjon.bin
  11. Générateur de noms Donjon.bin
  12. Générateur de personnages en 3D Autodesk Character Generator
  13. Générateur de barcodes
  14. Banque d’icônes
  15. Publication de livres papier (incluant la distribution sur Amazon et Google)
  16. Obtention d’un ISBN et dépôt légal

Ce sont des choix personnels. Il existe beaucoup beaucoup d’autres outils pour créer, certains payants mais beaucoup gratuits.

Le festival Montréal Joue (jeux de société)

04CD7A6E-8F41-4536-8734-AFB52EA48AB2

C’est dans le cadre du Festival Montréal joue 2016 qu’a eu lieu le 27 février au centre Pierre-Charbonneau ce que je qualifierais du plus grand rassemblement de joueurs de jeux de société au Québec et peut-être même Canada. En effet, près de 1000 joueurs en même temps qui s’adonnent à une activité qui ne cesse de retrouver de la vigueur ces dernières années: les jeux de société.

Place au concepteurs québécois

60480F4A-D0AF-4765-A8B7-68246013A7D9

Une section avait même été aménagée pour permettre aux concepteurs d’y présenter leurs prototypes. Bien placé à l’entrée de la salle offrant une excellente visibilité, c’est d’ailleurs là que nous avons pu exposer nos créations telles:

Une saine ambiance de franche camaraderie

C’est ainsi que c’est déroulé la journée, avec des organisateurs très disponibles et relaxes, des participants curieux, intéressés et amusés, une salle bien remplie et des centaines et des centaines de parties de jeux tous aussi captivant les uns que les autres.

Merci groupe et à l’an prochain

IMG_1567 IMG_1566

 

Our Designer Table at ComicCon Montreal 2014

 

TGC-designer-table-comiccon-montreal-2014

Family Game Night Revisited

At our first Designer Table last year there were about with 200 attendees for the whole event. This year, we went to ComicCon Montreal which had a record crowd of 51,000 attendees.

51,000 geeks in the same room

DCIM115GOPRO

Ace Ventura paid us a visit

Let me tell you that 51,000 geeks in the same hall brings a lot of people to wonder how they can print there own game! And they came, by hundreds they came and took all of my business card, all of the TGC flyers and all of my special poker size cards specially designed for ComicCon.

We found our number one fan

zombies-forever

Zombies Forever

A funny story: On Friday night, we sold a copy of a board game called Zombie Forever. On Sunday morning, the girl came back saying: « You remember me from Friday? ». « Yes » I replied. « I WANT MORE GAMES » she said. And she left with 4 other different games! She also got an autograph from Amelie. The Game Creator!

Our little princess was more than happy

rapunzel-amelie

Amelie, Rapunzel and her prince

Amelie was more than happy. She was proud of herself, her work, her games. And in the end, that’s all that matters.

More pictures

But than again, it wouldn’t be ComicCon without the Cosplay! Look how close they are from our cards!

monster-wars

Monster Wars

ninja-combo

Ninja Combo

me-and-catwoman

Black Cat and me!

spock

Me and Spock

zombies-forever-vampire

The Vampire in Zombies Forever

Thank you for your support

Finally, we would like to thank all the staff at TheGameCrafter. Your company, your customer service, your support, encourgagement and advices are simply awesome!

Comment fonctionne KickStarter?

kickstarter-badge-funded
1. Allez sur http://kck.st/1lRQi14
2. Choisissez votre niveau (ça commence à 1$ !)
3. Vous ne payez que SI le projet est financé (environ 15 supporters)
4. Selon le niveau choisi, vous aurez:
a. une image exclusive
b. une carte souvenir exclusive
c. un jeu de carte conçu et dessiné par Amélie
d. un petit jeu conçu par Amélie et moi et dessiné par Amélie
e. un jeu de table conçu et dessiné par Amélie
f. une combinaison de tout ça.

De plus, si le projet est « surfinancé », j’ai prévu d’ajouter des surprises et des bonus vraiment chouette. C’est pour cela qu’en plus de votre aide, vos partages sont essentielles!

Finalement, je rappelle qu’on fait tout ça surtout pour le plaisir mais aussi car c’est une expérience unique pour Amélie de voir ses jeux ainsi popularisés! Merci pour tout.

kickstarter

How to prepare yourself for a TGC Designer Table Event

TGC Designer Table Galasoft GamesFirst, let me introduce myself, my name is Gaetan Lanthier. I am 42+1 y.o. (I love 42). I am a Chemical Engineer and a Web Strategist. I am a proud father of 2 adorable girls and husband of a wonderful wife! A couple of years ago, I started to create card games and tabletop games with my youngest daughter. Our dream became a reality when we found a company called The Game Crafter.

If you’d like to subscribe to my blog, go to the bottom and hit the + sign. You can enter your email on the right side of the footer.

The Game Crafter (TGC)© is a print-on-demand game publishing service that allows anyone to create, publish, and sell games without going through a traditional game publisher. TGC was launched in July 2009, and was an immediate success. TGC currently offers games for sale in a dozen categories, ranging from educational to party games. People from around the world are using TGC to create and publish games for public sale, and for private use with their friends, families, or students.

But more importantly, TGC offers to their developers the opportunity to grow their own business by helping them to promote their games. Asides from an API and a convenient and easy to use online shop, they do have a program called « Designer Table Sponsorship« .

How to prepare yourself for a TGC Designer Table Event

First, you have to create a game (or more!). That’s probably the hardest part and it will probably be the subject of another post. So let say you have designed a game and published it on TGC.

Second, you have to find an event, a convention of some kind where you will be able to promote your game and TGC. Because yes, you will become an ambassador! That part is easy and fun because it gives you a story to tell to your potential customers. Participants will want to know how it works, if it is complicated (of course it isn’t!), etc. You will engage in a conversation where no other competitor will be able to. And you might convince some of them to buy games or create their own! Know that you are a part of a community where game designer and the publisher are in a win-win situation. What more can you want!

Of course, if at the same convention, other game designers are also part of the TGC Community don’t worry, it’s even better! You’ll be able to exchange and learn even more!

The event doesn’t have to be Comicon or Gencon! A local community event will do.

Then, you have to comply to TGC rules for a « Designer Table Sponsorship« . Honestly, it’s mainly common sense. The toughest one is that:

  • You must submit your application no later than 45 days prior to the convention, and preferably much sooner than that.

For the rest, refer to TGC Website for the details.

How to REALLY prepare yourself for a TGC Designer Table Event

I’ll tell you my story. My wife is a polymer clay jewelry artist (she is also a Chemical Engineer and a senior scientist)! In November 2012, she attended a craft show in Montreal, Qc. My daughter and I squatted a part of her table to display our first game « Thieves of Coins« . We weren’t very well prepared but we ordered 25 copies of it! We sold 15 and made beautiful Chirstmas gifts for the whole family and friends with the remaining games!

This year, we got ourselves our own table, just beside hers. But we did more than that. We contacted TGC to get a sponsorship. Their answer was quick and very friendly. Of course they accepted because we met all their requirements. So we received a couple of weeks before the convention:

  • Three TGC branded T-Shirts.
  • One TGC branded table cover.
  • about 100 TGC brochures.
  • Ten $5 TGC gift certificates.

We also took many actions to help us promote our event:

  • Order multiple copies of each games you created. Have all of them tested thoroughly before the event. That will also be the subject of another post.
  • Create a Facebook Event. It’s easy to invite all your « friends ». Many won’t come but you get interesting surprises sometimes!
  • Promote your Facebook Event with Facebook Ads. For 30$, I got more than 200,000 prints, 93 clics. Not bad!

Facebook-Ads

  • Send invitations at work to your colleagues, your boss, even the president of your company (you never know)
  • Tweet about your event regularly (I may have failed that part, at least on the « regularly »)

tweets

  • Prepare a price list if you have more than one game. Make sure to include Shipping and Duties (if you live outside the US like me).

Jeux Galasoft - Liste de prix

  • Prepare a promo sheet. It helps people to understand your game.

Jeux Galasoft - Feuille Promo

  • Make yourself nice business cards. It helps you connect.

business-card

 

  • Organize a draw. We organised a draw. 5$ a ticket. If we sell 4, we give away a game of 20$ value. If we sell 8, 2 games. If we sell 16, 2 games of 20$ and 1 game of 40$, etc. We don’t make any extra money but we may sell more games!

draw

  • Make some Demos. We will have our own copy of each game to show to people and even play a game or two with them.

DSCN0697

 

Finally, the hardest part is the waiting. Our show will be on November 16 and 17. I can’t wait to write about it and tell you how it went! If you live nearby, you are more than welcome to come (or to visit). If you happen to know someone at Comicon Montreal, send me a private message, I’d be happy to talk with them for next year!

From dream to reality (a story of Game Design)

pluie

It all started on a rainy day during our 2010 vacation in Quebec’s Laurentians area, Canada. My youngest daughter, she was 5 y.o. at the time, was playing alone with ordinary playing cards: flipping them, talking to the Queen, you know that kind of stuff. Then she came to me saying: « Daddy, come and play with me, I invented a game! »

An idea became a game

She explained to me me the basic rules of what would become « Thieves of Coins ». I grabbed a piece of paper and took notes as she spoke. I questionned some of the rules, helped her to find a purpose for the game. We ended up brainstorming. We found a way to start the game, to distribute the cards, what to do with the play or discard cards, give some special abilities to others and so on. I wrote down a complete set of rules. We played a couple of times and back home again with Grandma and other friends.

A whole year passed! Then, one Friday night, during supper time, I made a joke: « Hey, Imagine if you published your game! » Her eyes started sparkling and she couldn’t finish her meal. We went downstairs and looked on the Internet for a Printing Service, such as lulu.com who can print your book (if you are a writer!).

Finding the right supplier

The Game Crafter Logo

We stopped at a site called thegamecrafter.com. I must honestly say that it was exactly the kind of services we were looking for. I told my daughter that we would work on the details later on because it was already 10 PM, time for her to go to bed! As she went asleep, I tought to myself: « In what kind of mess I am now? I am not a drawing artist, I am an engineer! »

The next morning, I woke up at 7 and found my daughter in front of the computer, she had been drawing beautiful characters on Powerpoint for more than an hour! I told myself: There is something to do here!

Thieves of Coins

Designing a game

54-card-tuck-box-template

So we sat together the rest of the morning and drew characters, cover, etc. Then we got to the fun part. I explored the Game Crafter web site. Since it was a simple card game, I chose the Poker Size Card and the tuck box Templates. I downloaded the PNG file. I used an open source drawing program called Paint.Net (it’s free and easy to use).

From PowerPoint to Paint.NET, I simply used the copy and paste feature. I use Layers a lot. Layers (in Paint.NET or Adobe Photoshop) allows you to draw on different layers, therefore you can move each object separately, use transparency (or opacity) and apply effects. etc.

The Template is very important. I use a 50% opacity to see my model with the template in the background. That way, I make sure my design fits perfectly in the model!

template

I wrote the rules using a card template and used the front to write the French version of the rules.

I saved all the files and used The Game Crafter Engine to build my game. It has a very intuitive interface and easy to follow steps to create a game.

Once uploaded, I placed my first order! The toughest part is the waiting. Being in Canada, it looks like it’s a far far away country but what can we do about it! Anyway, I was able to keep track of my order during production time and travel time as well! So it helped.

From dream to reality

Finally, the game arrived and my daughter was very pleased to see that her work, her idea, became a reality. The impact was immediate! Right away, she began a second, a third and a fourth game! Surely, I was there to adjust the rules in the making, to finalize the designs, to write the complete rules but the initial ideas always came from her.

In 2012, we attend a small trade show in Montreal held by Le Cercle des Fermières du Québec (Anjou) where no less than 15 games were sold! We even got the visit of our Federal Deputy for Honoré-Mercier, Ms. Paulina Ayala. We intend to expose this year again!

paulina

thieves-of-coins

More games to come

We like the idea so much that we continue our journey! In only 2 years, we have expanded our collection to 8 games including 3 tabletop games. tabletop games take longer to design but offer more possibilities! So our games include more strategy. We now create booklets, boards, sophisticated rules. We even began to create Polymer Clay Pawns. And the more we create, the more fun we have!

Family Game Nights

In our family, Family Game Nights quickly became Family Let’s Create a Game Night!

Galasoft's Game with The Game Crafter

The Game Crafter

From the Game Crafter Web site:

The Game Crafter (TGC)© is a print-on-demand game publishing service that allows anyone to create, publish, and sell games without going through a traditional game publisher. TGC was created in 2001 by JT Smith, who used the original site to showcase a few games that he had created in his spare time. In 2009, the opportunity to offer TGC as a print-on-demand service for the public was realized when Plain Black Corporation, creators of the open source content management system WebGUI, realized their software contained everything necessary to turn their love of games into a much needed service for game lovers everywhere.

TGC was launched in July 2009, and was an immediate success. TGC currently offers games for sale in a dozen categories, ranging from educational to party games. People from around the world are using TGC to create and publish games for public sale, and for private use with their friends, families, or students. The site provides a number of templates to help game creators design their games, forums for discussion and help, dozens of game pieces to choose from, and a game publishing wizard to walk game creators through the publication process.

Based on site activity in the first week alone, The Game Crafter has already filled a void in the game industry. The Game Crafter continues to actively develop the site to integrate new features for future inclusion. To stay informed about new game releases and TGC appearances at venues near you, become a fan of TGC on Facebook and follow it on Twitter.

 

[UPDATE: 2013-08-17]:

This blog post was mentionned on The Game Crafter’s blog on http://news.thegamecrafter.com/post/58334318268/from-dream-to-reality-a-story-of-game-design and on a Game Developper blog, esmayaandme.com : http://esmayaandme.com/father-daughter-team-create-family-card-games-and-were-not-talking-about-ourselves/

Ne manquez pas cette chance de préserver vos données personnelles

DSCN0107

Si vous êtes encore en train de lire et que votre rythme cardiaque s’est accéléré, c’est parce que ça vous devriez lire la suite. Sinon, allez « googler » votre nom pour voir ce qu’on dit de vous.

Une grande sauvegarde deux fois par année

On change les piles de son détecteur de fumée 2 fois l’an. (au changement d’heure). En alternance, on peut faire une grande sauvegarde de ses données le 1er janver et le 1er juillet. Pour une centaine de dollars, vous pouvez vous procurer un disque dur externe d’une capacité suffisante pour contenir les données de la majorité des individus. Ce disque sera rangé dans un coffre anti-feu ou mieux encore à la banque!

Deux fois l’an, c’est bien sûr un minimum! En plus de cela, j’utilise un second disque dur externe qui synchronise tous mes fichiers automatiquement à chaque jour!

Qu’est-ce qu’on doit sauvegarder?

Tout! Enfin presque. Pensez à vos documents, vos photos, votre musique, vos films. En gros tout ce qui se trouve dans « Mes Documents », « Mes Images », « Ma Musique » et « Mes Vidéos ». Il existe plein d’utilitaires de sauvegarde. Mais je vous suggère une simple copie « manuelle » de vos documents. Comme ça vous gardez le contrôle sur ce que vous copiez et aussi il sera sans doute plus facile d’y accéder à nouveau.

Que faire de mes données « dans les nuages »?

Vous ne le savez peut-être pas mais plusieurs fournisseurs tels Microsoft, Apple, Google et Facebook conservent une TONNE de copies de vos informations personnelles. Sans parler du gouvernement américain qui fouine son nez partout!

Il existe toutefois une façon de récupérer vos données (dans certains cas). Par exemple:

Google

Google offre le service Google Takeout. Ce service télécharge TOUTES vos données de tous les services Google: +1, Banque d’images 3D, Blogger, Cercles Google+, Contacts, Drive , Flux Google+ , Google+ Photos , Google Buzz (et oui!), Google Goggles , Google Latitude , Google Reader, Google Voice, Hangouts, Pages Google+, Profil, YouTube, et j’en passe!

Dans mon cas, j’avais pour 3.2 Go de données chez Google!

https://www.google.com/takeout/?hl=fr

Facebook

Facebook permet de télécharger vos données. Pour ce faire, Connectez-vous, Cliquez sur la roue dentelée en haut à droite de l’écran, Cliquez sur Compte puis choisissez le lien « Télécharger une copie de vos données sur Facebook » et suivez les instructions assez simple.

Voici la page d’aide à ce sujet: https://www.facebook.com/help/405183566203254

Dans mon cas j’avais pour 128 Mo de données chez Facebook.

Microsoft

Je n’ai pas encore trouver un service équivalent chez Microsoft… Toutefois, si vous utilisez Skydrive, vous avez probablement déjà un répertoire sur votre disque dur local qui est synchronisé avec votre skydrive dans les nuages. Sinon, téléchargez l’application de bureau :

http://windows.microsoft.com/fr-ca/skydrive/download#apps

Pour ce qui est des courriels et du calendrier, il faut encore installer un client de courriel sur votre ordinateur ou vous pouvez toujours transférer tous vos hotmail vers gmail! Mais ça c’est un autre sujet!

Apple

Apple offre le service iCloud. Si vous disposez d’un iMachin, assurez-vous qu’iCloud est en fonction. C’est automatique et ça vous permet de restaurer votre prochain iMachin lorsque le vôtre rendra l’âme ou lorsque vous achèterez le prochain modèle qui sortira inévitablement 6 mois après votre achat à gros prix!

Pour sauvegarder vos données sur votre PC ou Mac, vous devez passer par iTunes et faire la sauvegarde de votre répertoire \iTunes Media (souvent dans Ma Musique sur PC).

Conclusion

J’ai laissé des blancs intentionnellement dans cet article pour vous permettre de me poser des questions sur comment faire pour établir la meilleure stratégie de sauvegarde de vos données personnelles. Je vous répondrai gratuitement par courriel (il ne sera pas affiché) ou via les commentaires si c’est d’ordre général.

The Marvelous Space Hawk


This is a 3D model of a Space Ship called « The Space Hawk » based on a Role Playing Game that I have developed in the 80′: Earth Federation 2300. One day I might even Publish the game, missions, and stories about it. Click on

the image below to rotate the image!


Click here to download the model
Click here to download Google Sketchup